The Saint Thomas Tommies (4-5) go up against the Montana State Bobcats (6-4) on Saturday, December 11, 2021, at Schoenecker Arena. It tips at 8:00 PM ET.
In its most recent game, Montana State won at home over North Dakota State, 68-49. Its top performers were Raequan Battle (16 PTS, 77.8 FG%, 2-2 from 3PT) and Amin Adamu (14 PTS, 3 STL, 45.5 FG%).
In its most recent game, St. Thomas fell to Drake, 74-64. Its top scorers were R. Miller (22 PTS, 41.2 FG%, 6-14 from 3PT) and A. Nelson (14 PTS, 41.7 FG%, 2-5 from 3PT).
Matchup at a glance
- Game Day: Saturday, December 11, 2021
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Location: South Saint Paul, Minnesota
- Arena: Schoenecker Arena
- Spread: Montana State -6
- Total: 145.5
- Moneyline: Montana State -270, St. Thomas +212
Montana State player stats
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubrile Belo | 10 | 14.6 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Abdul Mohamed | 10 | 11.7 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Xavier Bishop | 10 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Amin Adamu | 10 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Tyler Patterson | 10 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.7 |
St. Thomas player stats
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubrile Belo | 10 | 14.6 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Abdul Mohamed | 10 | 11.7 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Xavier Bishop | 10 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Amin Adamu | 10 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Tyler Patterson | 10 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.7 |
Montana State stats
- The 76.1 points the Bobcats average are just 2.7 more than the Tommies concede.
- When Montana State scores more than 73.4, it has a 3-4 record.
- The Bobcats and Tommies rebound at nearly the same rate, with the Bobcats averaging 4.7 more per game.
- When Montana State has the rebounding advantage, it is 1-3. When recording fewer boards, St. Thomas is 3-3.
- The Bobcats are making 46.3% of their shots from the field, just 0.6% lower than the Tommies allow opponents (46.9%).
- Montana State is 2-2 when shooting better than 46.9% from the field.
Betting on Montana State
- The Bobcats have a 73.0% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Against the spread, Montana State is 7-2-0 this year.
- The Bobcats have covered the spread twice this season when favoured by 6 points or more (in four chances).
- This season’s average total in Bobcats games is 143.3, 2.2 points fewer than Saturday’s over/under of 145.5.
St. Thomas stats
- The Tommies score only 4.6 more points per game (75.4) than the Bobcats allow (70.8).
- When scoring over 70.8 points, St. Thomas is 4-3.
- Montana State outrebounds opponents by 2.3 per game, but St. Thomas is -6.7 on the boards.
- The Bobcats average 8.4 offensive boards, 1.0 more than the Tommies.
- The Tommies shoot 44.5% from the field, just 1.3% higher than the Bobcats concede.
- St. Thomas is 3-2 straight up when shooting better than 43.2% from the field.
Betting on St. Thomas
- The implied probability of a Tommies win based on the moneyline is 32.1%.
- Against the spread, St. Thomas is 4-4-0 this season.
- So far this year, the Tommies have been installed as underdogs by a 6-point margin or more six times and are 4-2 ATS in those contests.
- In 2020, the Tommies averaged a total of 145.9 points. That’s 0.4 more than the set over/under in this contest.
